C2关系网络演化生成特性分析*

在网络中心作战背景下,为了探索"聚力前沿"(Power to the Edge)现实要求下的指挥控制(C2)关系动态演化规律,讨论了两种实元的加入策略模型:"信息最优加入"策略(BIMS)和"随机加入"策略(RMS):提出了信息资源利用率、信息资源命中率、信息传输有效率等三个指挥控制关系网络效能指标和一种加权评价方法.通过对仿真结果的分析,发现了BIMS策略下C2关系网络演化过程中存在的自组织、自适应现象,得出了BIMS策略下C2关系网络将具有无尺度网络特征这一结论.最后,比较了BIMS策略和RMS策略下的C2关系网效能和抗随机干扰能力,发现前者优于后者,而且BIMS策略下C2关系网具有逐渐优化的能力.     

内外干扰因素对液体火箭发动机的影响分析

在已有的液体火箭发动机稳态工况的非线性数学模型基础上,计算分析了单干扰因素对液体火箭发动机参数的影响,用非线性方法和小偏差方法对比分析了两个干扰因素分别和共同对发动机参数的影响。所得结论可用于泵压式燃气发生器循环的液体火箭发动机试验结果分析、可靠性及故障分析,也揭示了此类发动机参数随各种干扰因素的变化规律     

差压式管道内检测机器人驱动力与速度分析

差压式管道内检测机器人是利用管道中流动介质压力差驱动的检测装置，机器人受力情况及周围流场分布对其运动状态有着重要的影响。通过对检测机器人受力分析和数值模拟，讨论了影响给定机器人驱动力的主要因素，得到了以水为流动介质在水平管道情况下，水流速度与机器人稳态速度的近似关系式，为以后进一步研究机器人定位提供帮助。     

Does military expenditure increase external debt? Evidence from Asia

This article empirically explores the effect of military spending on external debt, using a sample of ten Asian countries over the years from 1990 to 2011. The Hausman’s test suggests that the random-effects model is preferable; however, both random-effects and fixed-effects models are used in this research. The empirical results show that the effect of military spending on external debt is positive, while the effects of foreign exchange reserves and of economic growth on external debt are negative. For developing countries caught in security dilemma, military expenditure often requires an increase in external debt, which may affect economic development negatively.     

造纸企业芦苇堆场火灾事故诱因及预防措施

针对近几年造纸企业原料（芦苇）堆场火灾事故日益攀升的问题,从芦苇堆垛的湿度、通风、布置、温度监测手段以及外来火源控制等方面阐述了其与芦苇堆场火灾事故间的关联,并在此基础上探讨了有效预防芦苇堆场火灾事故的措施,期望为造纸企业与消防部门就芦苇堆场火灾事故的防范与控制提供参考。     

Clinical Characterization of Insomnia among Veterans with PTSD: Identifying Risk Factors for Diagnosis and Treatment with Sedative-Hypnotics

Abstract

Insomnia is prevalent among Veterans with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), it exacerbates PTSD symptoms, and it contributes to impaired functioning and quality of life. To improve treatment outcomes, it is important to identify risk factors for insomnia and sedative-hypnotic use. Classification and regression trees and logistic regression models were used to identify variables associated with insomnia or sedative-hypnotic use. Key findings include low insomnia diagnosis rates (3.5–5.6%) and high rates of sedative-hypnotics (44.2–49.0%). Younger Veterans and those without a breathing-related sleep disorder (BRSD) were more likely to receive an insomnia diagnosis. Veterans with greater service connection and those with an alcohol/substance use disorder were more likely to be prescribed sedative-hypnotics. Interaction terms may have identified potential groups at risk of being under-diagnosed with insomnia (i.e. non-black Veterans with psychiatric co-morbidity, black Veterans without psychiatric co-morbidity) as well as groups at risk for sedative-hypnotic use (i.e. younger Veterans without BRSD). In sum, Veterans with PTSD have high rates of sedative-hypnotic use despite minimal evidence they are effective. This is counter to recommendations indicating behavioral interventions are the first-line treatment. Policy changes are needed to reduce use of sedative-hypnotics and increase access to behavioral insomnia interventions.     

基于影响因素分析的装甲车辆驾驶员作业可靠性评价模型

从影响因素分析人手,在对装甲车辆人-机一环境系统物理模型综合分析的基础上,运用灰色关联度法建立了基于驾驶员作业可靠性影响因素分析的定性评价模型,并结合某装甲部队的驾驶训练考核进行了应用。结果表明：考核成绩与模型计算结果有着比较吻合的变化趋势,验证了模型的有效性。所述研究方法根据不同装备、不同岗位特点,可对评价指标体系调整后进行移植和拓展使用。     

THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EXTERNAL DEBT,DEFENCE EXPENDITURES AND GNP REVISITED: THE CASE OF TURKEY

This paper contributes to the continuing debate on the economic effects of military expenditure by undertaking a case study of Greece. Within Europe Greece provides a particularly interesting object of study. It has the highest military burden in Europe and NATO, is the only European Union country situated in the unstable environment of the Balkans, faces a military threat from Turkey, and has a very weak economy. After some background analysis of the economy and military expenditure, the paper investigates the determinants of Greek military expenditure as well as whether the high military burden has played an important role in Greece's poor economic performance over the period 1960–1996. It estimates a Keynesian simultaneous equation model with a supply side, which allows the indirect effects of military expenditure to be captured explicitly. It concludes that the major determinants of Greek defence spending are not economic but strategic (the threat of war) and that the direct effect of defence spending on economic growth as well as the indirect effects through savings and trade balance are all significantly negative. On the basis of such strong results, the paper concludes that defence spending is harmful for the Greek economy.     

THE DEFENCE SPENDING–EXTERNAL DEBT NEXUS IN ETHIOPIA

The aim of this paper is to examine the impact of defence spending and income on the evolution of Ethiopia’s external debt over the period 1970–2005. Using the bounds test approach to cointegration and Granger causality tests, we find a long run and a causal relationship between external debt, defence spending and income. Defence spending had a positive and a significant impact on the stock of external debt while income had a negative and a statistically significant impact on external debt. Our findings suggest that an increase in defence spending contributes to the accumulation of Ethiopia’s external debt, while an increase in economic growth helps Ethiopia to reduce its external debt.     

基于ANP的装备保障转型影响因素分析

针对装备保障转型影响因素众多、转型重要程度难以确定等问题,分析了保障转型外部和内部影响因素,建立了保障转型影响因素ANP模型,利用ANP方法对装备保障转型影响因素进行了权重确定,为确定装备保障转型影响因素重要性程度提供了一种定量化分析方法,明确了装备保障转型应优先重点解决的关键问题．